The new CNN/ORC poll
finds 49% approve of the way Obama is handling his job, 47% disapprove,
about the same as in a June survey, which found the President's
approval rating at 50% for the first time since 2013. But on the
President's biggest accomplishment since then -- the nuclear agreement
reached between the U.S., its allies and Iran -- most say they would
like to see Congress reject it. Overall, 52% say Congress should reject
the deal, 44% say it should be approved.
Some
opposition to the deal may be fueled by skepticism. A CNN/ORC poll in
late June, conducted as the deal was being worked out, found that nearly
two-thirds of adults thought it was unlikely the negotiations would
result in an agreement that would prevent Iran from developing nuclear
weapons.
The new poll finds a sharp
partisan gap on whether Congress should approve the deal, with 66% of
Republicans and 55% of independents saying Congress ought to reject it
and 61% of Democrats saying it should be approved. Younger adults, who
tend to lean more Democratic, are more apt to favor the deal: 53% of
those age 18-34 say approve it, while 56% of those age 35 or older say
reject it. There is also an education divide on the deal, with 53% of
college graduates saying the deal should be approved, while just 37% of
those with a high school degree or less formal education saying they
think it should be approved.
On
the economy, the optimism that emerged earlier this year has wilted in
the summer heat. Just 41% of Americans say the economy is in good shape,
with 59% describing it as poor. That's a sharp negative shift since
April, when 52% said things were in good shape.
During
that time, most U.S. economic indicators have remained positive, though
the stock market has fallen recently amid international financial
turmoil in Greece and China.
And in a
bad sign for the President, much of that growing negativity about the
economy comes from those in his own party, particularly younger
Americans. Among Democrats, 58% call the economy "good," but that's down
18 points since April, when 76% said it was very or somewhat good.
Declines over that time among independents (down 10 points to 37%) and
Republicans (down a statistically insignificant 3 points to 28%) were
much smaller. And among young people, who were a key component of
Obama's electoral coalition in 2008 and 2012, the share of adults age 18
to 34 who think the economy is in good shape has fallen 17 points to
38%.
Still,
on a personal level, Americans are beginning to feel better off. The
poll finds people are more likely to say their personal situation has
improved under Obama's second term than they were three years in to his
first term. Overall, 49% say they're doing better now than they were
three years ago, in the run up to Obama's re-election. Fewer, 38%, say
their personal situation has not improved. Americans' assessment of
their own personal finances under his first term were much less rosy. In
September 2011, 58% said they were not any better off than three years
earlier, while just 32% said they were better off. That shift is evenly
spread across most partisan and demographic divides.
The
CNN/ORC International Poll was conducted by telephone July 22-25 among a
random national sample of 1,017 adults, including 898 registered
voters. Results for all adults have a margin of sampling error of plus
or minus 3 percentage points.
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