Washington (CNN)New polling released Monday -- nationally and in Iowa -- finds Donald Trump squarely in the top tier of candidates, but raises some questions about whether he'll be able to maintain that standing.
Overall, the new national poll from the Washington Post and ABC News
finds Trump at the top of the field nationally with 24% support among
Republican registered voters, well ahead of his closest rivals,
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (13%) and Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (12%).
But there are some signs Trump's Saturday remarks questioning Arizona Sen. John McCain's military service
may have been a turn off to some potential voters. The poll, fielded
from Thursday to Sunday, found a drop-off in support for Trump in
interviews conducted on the final day of fielding. While he earned 28%
support during the first three nights of interviewing, that dipped to
single digits on the final day.
That
shift occurred among a small sample of Republicans, so it's difficult to
judge whether it will hold up as the campaign rolls on. But the poll
finds other warning signs for Trump's campaign.
Just
34% of Republicans think that Trump's views reflect the core values of
the Republican Party, a majority, 54%, say they do not, and 31% of
Republicans say they would definitely not vote for him in the general
election should he win the party's nomination. About twice as many as
have ruled out a vote for Bush.
Still, a Monmouth University poll in Iowa
conducted on the same days found almost no decline in support for Trump
after his remarks about McCain among those likely to attend that
state's first-in-the-nation caucuses. There, Trump stands in second
place with 13% behind Walker's field-leading 22%. In that poll, both
Trump's overall support and favorability rating held steady in
interviews with likely caucus goers both before and after the event in
Iowa where he spoke about McCain's service.
In
the national poll, Walker and Bush are the only candidates on the
Republican side other than Trump with double-digit support. Trump's
gains haven't hurt those two, however, as their standing in the race for
the nomination remains about the same as it was in a May Washington
Post-ABC News poll.
Others have lost ground, however, with Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul down five points since May, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz off four points, and several others down slightly.
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